Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
R. Union B
Home
3-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Leioa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.08
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
7%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
87%
1.08
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
R. Union B wins
0
Draws
0
Leioa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
13%
16%
Attack
13%
66%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
R. Union B
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Leioa
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.33
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| R. Union B | Leioa | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 1/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/2 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 50% 1/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 50% 1/2 | Failed to score | 3/5 60% |
At half time
R. Union B
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
Leioa
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
R. Union B face Leioa in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4. R. Union B have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 1 and conceding 2 (1.5 points per game). Leioa have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 20 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 87% probability backing R. Union B, home advantage and superior chance creation make R. Union B to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for R. Union B, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Leioa. Our top recommended betting pick is R. Union B Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
