La Liga · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Atletico Madrid
Home
2-1
Full time
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Real Madrid
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
23%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atletico Madrid wins
0
Draws
0
Real Madrid wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
80%
73%
Attack
86%
60%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
32%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Atletico Madrid
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.67
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Real Madrid
last 6 away from home
5W
0D
1L
2.50
points a game
1.83
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Atletico Madrid
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
Real Madrid
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
30%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Real Madrid |
12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |
Atletico Madrid |
12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 28 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atletico Madrid face Real Madrid in La Liga. Atletico Madrid have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Real Madrid have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
Real Madrid's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Real Madrid to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Atletico Madrid, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Real Madrid. Our top recommended betting pick is Real Madrid Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 14:15 (East Africa Time) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano as part of the La Liga.
