Eerste Divisie · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
De Graafschap
Home
1-2
Full time
De Vijverberg
NAC Breda
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.56 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
36%
Draw
20%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
78%
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
80%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
De Graafschap wins
0
Draws
0
NAC Breda wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
26%
40%
Attack
60%
5%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
36%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
De Graafschap
last 6 at home
1W
0D
5L
0.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
4.00
conceded a game
NAC Breda
last 6 away from home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| De Graafschap | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
De Graafschap
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
44%
Behind
44%
NAC Breda
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
10%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
De Graafschap face NAC Breda in Eerste Divisie. De Graafschap have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 17 (0.6 points per game). NAC Breda have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 13 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 80% and Both Teams to Score at 78%.
NAC Breda's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for NAC Breda to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 36% win probability for De Graafschap, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for NAC Breda. Our top recommended betting pick is NAC Breda Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 78% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 14:45 (East Africa Time) at De Vijverberg as part of the Eerste Divisie.
