Erovnuli Liga 2 · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Samtredia
Home
5-0
Full time
Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium
Merani Martvili
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
4%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
93%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
97%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Samtredia wins
0
Draws
0
Merani Martvili wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
40%
93%
Attack
40%
86%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Samtredia
last 5 at home
5W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.80
scored a game
0.40
conceded a game
Merani Martvili
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Samtredia | Merani Martvili | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/9 11% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
Samtredia
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Merani Martvili
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
33%
Behind
44%
Match Preview & Analysis
Samtredia face Merani Martvili in Erovnuli Liga 2. Samtredia have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 2 (2.4 points per game). Merani Martvili have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
With a 93% probability backing Samtredia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Samtredia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Samtredia, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Merani Martvili. Our top recommended betting pick is Samtredia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium as part of the Erovnuli Liga 2.
