1. Liga · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Mārupe
Home
0-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Riga FC II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
18%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.13
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mārupe wins
0
Draws
0
Riga FC II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
53%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
66%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Mārupe
last 7 at home
3W
0D
4L
1.29
points a game
1.29
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Riga FC II
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Mārupe | Riga FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Mārupe
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
30%
Behind
60%
Riga FC II
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mārupe face Riga FC II in 1. Liga. Mārupe have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Riga FC II have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 66% probability backing Mārupe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Mārupe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for Mārupe, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Riga FC II. Our top recommended betting pick is Mārupe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.13 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the 1. Liga.
