Ligue 1 · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Nice
Home
2-1
Full time
Allianz Riviera
Lille
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.73
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
23%
Away
56%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nice wins
0
Draws
0
Lille wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
66%
6%
Attack
60%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
21%
Win probability
56%
Home and away record
Nice
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Lille
last 5 away from home
3W
2D
0L
2.20
points a game
2.40
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Nice | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 4/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 13% 1/8 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 50% 4/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/9 44% |
| 75% 6/8 | Failed to score | 0/9 0% |
At half time
Nice
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
63%
Behind
25%
Lille
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
22%
Behind
11%
Match Preview & Analysis
Nice face Lille in Ligue 1. Nice have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 5 (0.6 points per game). Lille have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Lille's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 56% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Lille to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for Nice, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 56% probability for Lille. Our top recommended betting pick is Lille Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 15:15 (East Africa Time) at Allianz Riviera as part of the Ligue 1.
