Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Sámano
Home
4-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Guarnizo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
4%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sámano wins
0
Draws
0
Guarnizo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
16%
Recent form
5%
50%
Attack
16%
33%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Sámano
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Guarnizo
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| Sámano | Guarnizo | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 2/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 100% 2/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 100% 2/2 | Both teams scored | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 1/2 50% |
At half time
Sámano
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Guarnizo
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sámano face Guarnizo in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3. Sámano have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (0.5 points per game). Guarnizo have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games, scoring 1 and conceding 3 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing Sámano, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sámano to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Sámano, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Guarnizo. Our top recommended betting pick is Sámano Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
