Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
UD Santa Marta
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Colegios Diocesanos
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.96 - 0.5
Win probability
Home
94%
Draw
2%
Away
0%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
94%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
83%
1.13
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
17%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.46
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
UD Santa Marta wins
0
Draws
0
Colegios Diocesanos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
5%
46%
Attack
5%
80%
Defence
16%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
94%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
UD Santa Marta
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Colegios Diocesanos
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| UD Santa Marta | Colegios Diocesanos | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 0/2 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 2/2 100% |
At half time
UD Santa Marta
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Colegios Diocesanos
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
UD Santa Marta |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 18 |
Colegios Diocesanos |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -8 | 1 |
Match Preview & Analysis
UD Santa Marta face Colegios Diocesanos in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8. UD Santa Marta have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). Colegios Diocesanos have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games, scoring 0 and conceding 5 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 17%.
With a 94% probability backing UD Santa Marta, home advantage and superior chance creation make UD Santa Marta to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 94% win probability for UD Santa Marta, a 2% chance of a draw, and a 0% probability for Colegios Diocesanos. Our top recommended betting pick is UD Santa Marta Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.46 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 17%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
