Segunda División · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Las Palmas
Home
1-2
Full time
Gran Canaria
Burgos
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
22%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Las Palmas v Burgos pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Las Palmas wins
0
Draws
0
Burgos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
53%
46%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
68%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Las Palmas
last 4 at home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Burgos
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Las Palmas | Burgos | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 4/8 50% |
At half time
Las Palmas
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Burgos
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
63%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Las Palmas face Burgos in Segunda División. Las Palmas have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Burgos have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 68% probability backing Las Palmas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Las Palmas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Las Palmas, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Burgos. Our top recommended betting pick is Las Palmas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at Gran Canaria as part of the Segunda División.
