Primeira Liga · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Estoril
Home
1-2
Full time
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Casa Pia
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
19%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Estoril wins
0
Draws
0
Casa Pia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
6%
6%
Attack
6%
60%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
66%
Win probability
15%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Est Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Cas Casa Pia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Estoril face Casa Pia in Primeira Liga. Estoril have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 6 (0.4 points per game). Casa Pia have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 14 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 66% probability backing Estoril, home advantage and superior chance creation make Estoril to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for Estoril, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Casa Pia. Our top recommended betting pick is Estoril Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota as part of the Primeira Liga.
