Primera Nacional · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Chacarita Juniors
Home
3-0
Full time
Estadio de Chacarita Juniors
Quilmes
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.3 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
25%
Draw
31%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
29%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.77
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chacarita Juniors wins
0
Draws
0
Quilmes wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
40%
6%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
25%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Chacarita Juniors
last 5 at home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.60
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Quilmes
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chacarita Juniors | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 4/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Chacarita Juniors
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Quilmes
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Quilmes |
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 42 |
| 15 |
Chacarita Juniors |
35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | -8 | 39 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chacarita Juniors face Quilmes in Primera Nacional. Chacarita Juniors have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 5 (0.2 points per game). Quilmes have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 29% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
Quilmes's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Quilmes to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 25% win probability for Chacarita Juniors, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Quilmes. Our top recommended betting pick is Quilmes Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.77 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors as part of the Primera Nacional.
