Torneo Federal A · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Deportivo Rincon
Home
3-0
Full time
Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros
Santamarina
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
34%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
21%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.75
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Rincon wins
0
Draws
0
Santamarina wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
40%
13%
Attack
33%
80%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Deportivo Rincon
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Santamarina
last 6 away from home
0W
0D
6L
0.00
points a game
0.17
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Deportivo Rincon | Santamarina | |
|---|---|---|
| 30% 3/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 6/10 60% |
At half time
Deportivo Rincon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Santamarina
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
70%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Rincon face Santamarina in Torneo Federal A. Deportivo Rincon have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (1 points per game). Santamarina have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 21% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With a 49% probability backing Deportivo Rincon, home advantage and superior chance creation make Deportivo Rincon to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Deportivo Rincon, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Santamarina. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Rincon Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.75 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros as part of the Torneo Federal A.
