Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Derio
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Santurtzi
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.19 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
62%
Draw
26%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
32%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Derio wins
0
Draws
0
Santurtzi wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
62%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Derio
last 4 at home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Santurtzi
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Derio | Santurtzi | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Derio
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Santurtzi
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Derio face Santurtzi in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4. Derio have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game). Santurtzi have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 32% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
With a 62% probability backing Derio, home advantage and superior chance creation make Derio to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 62% win probability for Derio, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Santurtzi. Our top recommended betting pick is Derio Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
