Serie A · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Vitoria
Home
1-3
Full time
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Cruzeiro
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.64
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
27%
Away
52%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.84
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vitoria wins
0
Draws
0
Cruzeiro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
21%
Win probability
52%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cru Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 39 |
| 12 | Vit Vitoria | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 29 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vitoria face Cruzeiro in Serie A. Vitoria have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Cruzeiro have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Cruzeiro's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 52% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Cruzeiro to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for Vitoria, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 52% probability for Cruzeiro. Our top recommended betting pick is Cruzeiro Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.84 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Manoel Barradas as part of the Serie A.
