Primera Division · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Alianza
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Municipal Limeño
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.94 - 1.8
Win probability
Home
10%
Draw
31%
Away
59%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
79%
1.19
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
21%
Over 2.5
21%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.74
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alianza wins
0
Draws
0
Municipal Limeño wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
86%
40%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
10%
Win probability
59%
Home and away record
Alianza
last 5 at home
3W
2D
0L
2.20
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.20
conceded a game
Municipal Limeño
last 5 away from home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
1.60
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Alianza | Municipal Limeño | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Alianza
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
Municipal Limeño
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
33%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Alianza |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 26 |
| 8 |
Municipal Limeño |
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -1 | 23 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alianza face Municipal Limeño in Primera Division. Alianza have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Municipal Limeño have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 21% and Both Teams to Score at 21%.
Municipal Limeño's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 59% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Municipal Limeño to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 10% win probability for Alianza, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 59% probability for Municipal Limeño. Our top recommended betting pick is Municipal Limeño Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.74 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 21%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 21:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera Division.
