Liga Nacional · Monday, 21 Sep 2026
Juticalpa
Home
3-2
Full time
Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas
CD Marathon
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.06
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.77 - 2.46
Win probability
Home
3%
Draw
7%
Away
89%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
89%
1.06
Double Chance
Draw/Away
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Juticalpa wins
0
Draws
0
CD Marathon wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
66%
26%
Attack
73%
26%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
89%
Home and away record
Juticalpa
last 4 at home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
CD Marathon
last 6 away from home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Juticalpa | CD Marathon | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Juticalpa
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
71%
Behind
14%
CD Marathon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
CD Marathon |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 12 |
Juticalpa |
12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -17 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Juticalpa face CD Marathon in Liga Nacional. Juticalpa have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game). CD Marathon have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
CD Marathon's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 89% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for CD Marathon to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 3% win probability for Juticalpa, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 89% probability for CD Marathon. Our top recommended betting pick is CD Marathon Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 21 Sep 2026 at 01:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas as part of the Liga Nacional.
