Liga Profesional Argentina · Monday, 21 Sep 2026
Velez Sarsfield
Home
3-2
Full time
Jose Amalfitani
Tigre
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
31%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
27%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Velez Sarsfield wins
0
Draws
0
Tigre wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
26%
33%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Velez Sarsfield
last 5 at home
3W
2D
0L
2.20
points a game
0.80
scored a game
0.20
conceded a game
Tigre
last 7 away from home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.14
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Velez Sarsfield | Tigre | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Velez Sarsfield
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Tigre
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Velez Sarsfield |
32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | +14 | 56 |
| 20 |
Tigre |
32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | +3 | 39 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Velez Sarsfield face Tigre in Liga Profesional Argentina. Velez Sarsfield have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). Tigre have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 27% and Both Teams to Score at 32%.
With a 50% probability backing Velez Sarsfield, home advantage and superior chance creation make Velez Sarsfield to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Velez Sarsfield, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Tigre. Our top recommended betting pick is Velez Sarsfield Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 32%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 21 Sep 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Jose Amalfitani as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
