Premier League · Monday, 21 Sep 2026
Thimphu
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Ugyen Academy
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
6%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Thimphu wins
0
Draws
0
Ugyen Academy wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
5%
80%
Attack
13%
80%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Thimphu
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Ugyen Academy
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.00
scored a game
4.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Thimphu | Ugyen Academy | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 8/10 80% |
At half time
Thimphu
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Ugyen Academy
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Thimphu face Ugyen Academy in Premier League. Thimphu have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). Ugyen Academy have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 21 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing Thimphu, home advantage and superior chance creation make Thimphu to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Thimphu, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Ugyen Academy. Our top recommended betting pick is Thimphu Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 21 Sep 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Premier League.
