Serie C - Girone B · Monday, 21 Sep 2026
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Home
1-1
Full time
Stadio Citta dell Aria
Livorno
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
17%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 wins
0
Draws
0
Livorno wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
53%
46%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Livorno
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
Livorno
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
88%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |
Livorno |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 20 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 face Livorno in Serie C - Girone B. Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game). Livorno have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 70% probability backing Guidonia Montecelio 1937, home advantage and superior chance creation make Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Guidonia Montecelio 1937, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Livorno. Our top recommended betting pick is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 21 Sep 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Citta dell Aria as part of the Serie C - Girone B.
