Serie C - Girone B · Monday, 21 Sep 2026
Spezia
Home
3-1
Full time
Stadio Alberto Picco
Vis Pesaro
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
93%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Spezia v Vis Pesaro pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Spezia wins
0
Draws
0
Vis Pesaro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
6%
73%
Attack
33%
93%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Spezia
last 4 at home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Vis Pesaro
last 7 away from home
1W
1D
5L
0.57
points a game
0.43
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Spezia | Vis Pesaro | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 4/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Spezia
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
38%
Behind
25%
Vis Pesaro
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Spezia |
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +19 | 35 |
| 20 |
Vis Pesaro |
13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -16 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Spezia face Vis Pesaro in Serie C - Girone B. Spezia have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 1 (3 points per game). Vis Pesaro have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 15 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 29%.
With a 93% probability backing Spezia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Spezia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Spezia, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Vis Pesaro. Our top recommended betting pick is Spezia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 29%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 21 Sep 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Picco as part of the Serie C - Girone B.
