EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
Accrington ST
Home
3-3
Full time
The Crown Ground
Sunderland U21
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.04 - 2.04
Win probability
Home
14%
Draw
16%
Away
70%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
70%
1.34
Double Chance
Draw/Away
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Accrington ST wins
0
Draws
0
Sunderland U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
53%
Attack
93%
40%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
14%
Win probability
70%
Home and away record
Accrington ST
last 8 at home
3W
5D
0L
1.75
points a game
1.13
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Sunderland U21
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Accrington ST | Sunderland U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/6 100% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Accrington ST
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Sunderland U21
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
17%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
Accrington ST face Sunderland U21 in EFL Trophy. Accrington ST have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). Sunderland U21 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 10 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Sunderland U21's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 70% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Sunderland U21 to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 14% win probability for Accrington ST, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 70% probability for Sunderland U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Sunderland U21 Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at The Crown Ground as part of the EFL Trophy.
