EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
Crewe
Home
4-1
Full time
Alexandra Stadium
Aston Villa U21
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
19%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Crewe wins
0
Draws
0
Aston Villa U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
53%
40%
Attack
80%
60%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
23%
Match Preview & Analysis
Crewe face Aston Villa U21 in EFL Trophy. Crewe have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Aston Villa U21 have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 11 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
With a 58% probability backing Crewe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Crewe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Crewe, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Aston Villa U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Crewe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium as part of the EFL Trophy.
