EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
York
Home
1-1
Full time
York`s LNER Community Stadium
Rotherham
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
22%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
York wins
1
Draws
0
Rotherham wins
22 Aug 2026
Rotherham
1 - 1
York
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
53%
53%
Attack
53%
40%
Defence
53%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
46%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
York
last 8 at home
3W
1D
4L
1.25
points a game
1.75
scored a game
2.13
conceded a game
Rotherham
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.13
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| York | Rotherham | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
York
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Rotherham
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
York face Rotherham in EFL Trophy. York have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game). Rotherham have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, York won 0, Rotherham won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 46% probability backing York, home advantage and superior chance creation make York to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for York, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Rotherham. Our top recommended betting pick is York Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at York`s LNER Community Stadium as part of the EFL Trophy.
