EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
Tranmere
Home
1-0
Full time
Prenton Park
Shrewsbury
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.21
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.57 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
78%
Draw
17%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
78%
1.21
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Tranmere wins
0
Draws
0
Shrewsbury wins
15 Aug 2026
Tranmere
2 - 0
Shrewsbury
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
46%
40%
Attack
26%
60%
Defence
60%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
78%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Tranmere
last 5 at home
3W
2D
0L
2.20
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Shrewsbury
last 8 away from home
0W
3D
5L
0.38
points a game
0.63
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tranmere | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Tranmere
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
33%
Behind
22%
Shrewsbury
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Tranmere face Shrewsbury in EFL Trophy. Tranmere have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Shrewsbury have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Tranmere won 1, Shrewsbury won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With a 78% probability backing Tranmere, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tranmere to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 78% win probability for Tranmere, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Shrewsbury. Our top recommended betting pick is Tranmere Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Prenton Park as part of the EFL Trophy.
