EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
Burton Albion
Home
1-1
Full time
Pirelli Stadium
Nottingham Forest U21
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
20%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Burton Albion wins
0
Draws
0
Nottingham Forest U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
60%
60%
Attack
53%
33%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Burton Albion
last 8 at home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Nottingham Forest U21
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Burton Albion | Nottingham Forest U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 5/7 71% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Burton Albion
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
Nottingham Forest U21
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
29%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Burton Albion face Nottingham Forest U21 in EFL Trophy. Burton Albion have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 10 (1 points per game). Nottingham Forest U21 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 73%.
With a 54% probability backing Burton Albion, home advantage and superior chance creation make Burton Albion to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Burton Albion, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Nottingham Forest U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Burton Albion Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 73% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium as part of the EFL Trophy.
