EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
Notts County
Home
2-1
Full time
Meadow Lane
Grimsby
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.96 - 1.91
Win probability
Home
11%
Draw
25%
Away
64%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
64%
1.47
Double Chance
Draw/Away
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Notts County wins
0
Draws
0
Grimsby wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
73%
26%
Attack
46%
53%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
11%
Win probability
64%
Match Preview & Analysis
Notts County face Grimsby in EFL Trophy. Notts County have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Grimsby have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
Grimsby's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 64% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Grimsby to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 11% win probability for Notts County, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 64% probability for Grimsby. Our top recommended betting pick is Grimsby Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Meadow Lane as part of the EFL Trophy.
