EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
Barnsley
Home
3-4
Full time
Oakwell Ground
Leeds United U21
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 1.62
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
17%
Away
51%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
91%
1.03
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
87%
1.08
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
91%
Over 2.5
87%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Barnsley wins
0
Draws
0
Leeds United U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
66%
13%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
32%
Win probability
51%
Home and away record
Barnsley
last 7 at home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
1.57
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Leeds United U21
last 6 away from home
1W
2D
3L
0.83
points a game
1.67
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Barnsley | Leeds United U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Barnsley
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Leeds United U21
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
Barnsley face Leeds United U21 in EFL Trophy. Barnsley have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 13 (1 points per game). Leeds United U21 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 91% and Both Teams to Score at 87%.
Leeds United U21's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 51% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Leeds United U21 to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Barnsley, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 51% probability for Leeds United U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Leeds United U21 Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 87% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Oakwell Ground as part of the EFL Trophy.
