EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
Oldham
Home
1-0
Full time
Boundary Park
Fleetwood Town
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.08 - 1.78
Win probability
Home
16%
Draw
26%
Away
58%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Draw/Away
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Oldham wins
1
Draws
0
Fleetwood Town wins
01 Sep 2026
Fleetwood Town
1 - 1
Oldham
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
53%
33%
Attack
40%
53%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
16%
Win probability
58%
Home and away record
Oldham
last 6 at home
3W
0D
3L
1.50
points a game
1.83
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Fleetwood Town
last 8 away from home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Oldham | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Oldham
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Fleetwood Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Oldham face Fleetwood Town in EFL Trophy. Oldham have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Fleetwood Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Oldham won 0, Fleetwood Town won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
Fleetwood Town's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 58% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Fleetwood Town to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 16% win probability for Oldham, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 58% probability for Fleetwood Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Fleetwood Town Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Boundary Park as part of the EFL Trophy.
