EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
Cheltenham
Home
2-2
Full time
Whaddon Road
Exeter City
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cheltenham wins
0
Draws
0
Exeter City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
40%
73%
Attack
20%
46%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Cheltenham
last 5 at home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.60
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Exeter City
last 7 away from home
1W
0D
6L
0.43
points a game
0.57
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Cheltenham | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Cheltenham
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Exeter City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Cheltenham face Exeter City in EFL Trophy. Cheltenham have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game). Exeter City have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 29%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Cheltenham, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Exeter City. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 29%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Whaddon Road as part of the EFL Trophy.
