EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
Plymouth
Home
5-1
Full time
Home Park
Crystal Palace U21
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
18%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Plymouth wins
0
Draws
0
Crystal Palace U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
66%
80%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Plymouth
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Crystal Palace U21
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Plymouth | Crystal Palace U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Plymouth
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Crystal Palace U21
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
80%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Plymouth face Crystal Palace U21 in EFL Trophy. Plymouth have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game). Crystal Palace U21 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 71%.
With a 60% probability backing Plymouth, home advantage and superior chance creation make Plymouth to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Plymouth, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Crystal Palace U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Plymouth Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 71% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Home Park as part of the EFL Trophy.
