EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
Swindon Town
Home
0-2
Full time
County Ground
Newport County
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
20%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Swindon Town wins
0
Draws
0
Newport County wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
40%
Attack
46%
40%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Swindon Town face Newport County in EFL Trophy. Swindon Town have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game). Newport County have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
With a 55% probability backing Swindon Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Swindon Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Swindon Town, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Newport County. Our top recommended betting pick is Swindon Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at County Ground as part of the EFL Trophy.
