EFL Trophy · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
Bradford
Home
2-1
Full time
Valley Parade
Newcastle United U21
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.03
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
4%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
91%
1.03
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bradford wins
0
Draws
0
Newcastle United U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
20%
46%
Attack
33%
80%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Bradford
last 6 at home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Newcastle United U21
last 4 away from home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
1.75
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Bradford | Newcastle United U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 20% 2/10 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 70% 7/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Bradford
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Newcastle United U21
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Bradford face Newcastle United U21 in EFL Trophy. Bradford have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (2.4 points per game). Newcastle United U21 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 91% probability backing Bradford, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bradford to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Bradford, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Newcastle United U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Bradford Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Valley Parade as part of the EFL Trophy.
