FA Cup · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
Truro City
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Merthyr Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
22%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Truro City wins
1
Draws
0
Merthyr Town wins
19 Sep 2026
Merthyr Town
1 - 1
Truro City
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
53%
60%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
66%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Truro City
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.88
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Merthyr Town
last 6 away from home
1W
2D
3L
0.83
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Truro City | Merthyr Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Truro City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
Merthyr Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Truro City face Merthyr Town in FA Cup. Truro City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Merthyr Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Truro City won 0, Merthyr Town won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With a 66% probability backing Truro City, home advantage and superior chance creation make Truro City to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for Truro City, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Merthyr Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Truro City Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FA Cup.
