Copa Rio · Wednesday, 23 Sep 2026
Madureira
Home
0-2
Full time
Estadio Conselheiro Galvao
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
29%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Madureira wins
1
Draws
0
Sampaio Corrêa RJ wins
16 Sep 2026
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1 - 1
Madureira
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
53%
33%
Attack
26%
86%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Madureira
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.25
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Madureira | Sampaio Corrêa RJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/8 0% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 2/8 25% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Madureira
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
57%
Behind
14%
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
88%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Madureira face Sampaio Corrêa RJ in Copa Rio. Madureira have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (1.8 points per game). Sampaio Corrêa RJ have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Madureira won 0, Sampaio Corrêa RJ won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 29% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Madureira, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Sampaio Corrêa RJ. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 23 Sep 2026 at 17:45 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Conselheiro Galvao as part of the Copa Rio.
