Reserve League · Wednesday, 23 Sep 2026
Sarmiento Res.
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Atl. Rafaela 2
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
26%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
64%
1.47
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
28%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sarmiento Res. wins
0
Draws
0
Atl. Rafaela 2 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
73%
33%
Attack
40%
73%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Sarmiento Res.
last 3 at home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Atl. Rafaela 2
last 4 away from home
0W
3D
1L
0.75
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Sarmiento Res. | Atl. Rafaela 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| 38% 3/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/9 11% |
| 25% 2/8 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 63% 5/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 50% 4/8 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Sarmiento Res.
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
63%
Behind
25%
Atl. Rafaela 2
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Atl. Rafaela 2 |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | -1 | 25 |
| 17 |
Sarmiento Res. |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sarmiento Res. face Atl. Rafaela 2 in Reserve League. Sarmiento Res. have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game). Atl. Rafaela 2 have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 28% and Both Teams to Score at 25%.
With a 64% probability backing Sarmiento Res., home advantage and superior chance creation make Sarmiento Res. to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for Sarmiento Res., a 26% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Atl. Rafaela 2. Our top recommended betting pick is Sarmiento Res. Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 25%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 23 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Reserve League.
