Cup · Sunday, 12 Jul 2026
Rīgas FS
Home
2-0
Full time
LNK Sporta Parks
FS Jelgava
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.07
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.81 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
88%
Draw
7%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
88%
1.07
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Rīgas FS wins
0
Draws
0
FS Jelgava wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
75%
93%
Attack
91%
80%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
88%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Rīgas FS
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
3.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
FS Jelgava
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Rīgas FS | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Rīgas FS
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
FS Jelgava
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
0%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Rīgas FS face FS Jelgava in Cup. Rīgas FS have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). FS Jelgava have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 83% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 88% probability backing Rīgas FS, home advantage and superior chance creation make Rīgas FS to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 88% win probability for Rīgas FS, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for FS Jelgava. Our top recommended betting pick is Rīgas FS Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 12 Jul 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks as part of the Cup.
