UEFA Nations League · Thursday, 24 Sep 2026
Netherlands
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Germany
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
13%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
94%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
91%
1.03
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
94%
Over 2.5
91%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Netherlands wins
0
Draws
0
Germany wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
50%
95%
Attack
50%
66%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Netherlands
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Germany
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Netherlands | Germany | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 100% 3/3 | Both teams scored | 2/2 100% |
| 0% 0/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
Netherlands
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Germany
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Netherlands face Germany in UEFA Nations League. Netherlands have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2.33 points per game). Germany have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 94% and Both Teams to Score at 91%.
With a 57% probability backing Netherlands, home advantage and superior chance creation make Netherlands to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Netherlands, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Germany. Our top recommended betting pick is Netherlands Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 91% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 24 Sep 2026 at 21:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the UEFA Nations League.
