Liga Panameña de Fútbol · Tuesday, 29 Sep 2026
Alianza FC
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio Javier Cruz
Independiente de La Chorrera
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
25%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alianza FC wins
0
Draws
0
Independiente de La Chorrera wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Alianza FC
last 7 at home
2W
3D
2L
1.29
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Independiente de La Chorrera
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Alianza FC | Independiente de La Chorrera | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Alianza FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Independiente de La Chorrera
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Independiente de La Chorrera |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 10 |
Alianza FC |
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alianza FC face Independiente de La Chorrera in Liga Panameña de Fútbol. Alianza FC have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Independiente de La Chorrera have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 58% probability backing Alianza FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alianza FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Alianza FC, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Independiente de La Chorrera. Our top recommended betting pick is Alianza FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 29 Sep 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Javier Cruz as part of the Liga Panameña de Fútbol.
