Federation Cup · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
Mohammedan Dhaka
Home
3-1
Full time
Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium
Arambagh
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
60%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mohammedan Dhaka wins
0
Draws
0
Arambagh wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
50%
95%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| Mohammedan Dhaka | Arambagh | |
|---|---|---|
| 0% 0/1 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/1 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/1 | Both teams scored | 2/2 100% |
| 100% 1/1 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/1 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
Mohammedan Dhaka
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Arambagh
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mohammedan Dhaka face Arambagh in Federation Cup. Mohammedan Dhaka have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 1 and conceding 0 (3 points per game). Arambagh have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Mohammedan Dhaka, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Arambagh. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026 at 09:00 (East Africa Time) at Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium as part of the Federation Cup.
