Serie B · Sunday, 12 Jul 2026
Avai
Home
2-0
Full time
Estádio da Ressacada
Nautico Recife
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
22%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Avai wins
0
Draws
0
Nautico Recife wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
16%
22%
Attack
5%
55%
Defence
83%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Avai
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Nautico Recife
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Avai | Nautico Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 1/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 0/2 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/2 50% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 2/2 100% |
At half time
Avai
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Nautico Recife
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Nautico Recife |
37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 46 |
| 17 |
Avai |
37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 40 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Avai face Nautico Recife in Serie B. Avai have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4 (1 points per game). Nautico Recife have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 0 and conceding 1 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 58% probability backing Avai, home advantage and superior chance creation make Avai to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Avai, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Nautico Recife. Our top recommended betting pick is Avai Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 12 Jul 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio da Ressacada as part of the Serie B.
