Serie C · Sunday, 12 Jul 2026
Ituano
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Ferroviária
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
24%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ituano wins
0
Draws
0
Ferroviária wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
50%
5%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
83%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
26%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fer Ferroviária | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +7 | 27 |
| 15 | Itu Ituano | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -1 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ituano face Ferroviária in Serie C. Ituano have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 games, scoring 0 and conceding 1 (0 points per game). Ferroviária have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 1 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 50% probability backing Ituano, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ituano to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Ituano, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Ferroviária. Our top recommended betting pick is Ituano Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 12 Jul 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie C.
