Non League Premier - Northern · Tuesday, 29 Sep 2026
AFC Emley
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Workington
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
17%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
AFC Emley wins
0
Draws
0
Workington wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
80%
20%
Attack
86%
13%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
74%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
AFC Emley
last 7 at home
1W
3D
3L
0.86
points a game
0.86
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Workington
last 6 away from home
2W
0D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.17
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| AFC Emley | Workington | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
AFC Emley
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
Workington
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Workington |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 27 |
| 12 |
AFC Emley |
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 23 |
Match Preview & Analysis
AFC Emley face Workington in Non League Premier - Northern. AFC Emley have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 13 (0.8 points per game). Workington have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 8 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 74% probability backing AFC Emley, home advantage and superior chance creation make AFC Emley to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for AFC Emley, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Workington. Our top recommended betting pick is AFC Emley Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 29 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Northern.
