Non League Premier - Southern South · Tuesday, 29 Sep 2026
Bath City
Home
2-1
Full time
Twerton Park
Malvern Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.19
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.6 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
79%
Draw
15%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
79%
1.19
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bath City wins
0
Draws
0
Malvern Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
26%
40%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
79%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Bath City
last 8 at home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Malvern Town
last 6 away from home
0W
2D
4L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Bath City | Malvern Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Bath City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Malvern Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Bath City |
16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 29 |
| 21 |
Malvern Town |
16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bath City face Malvern Town in Non League Premier - Southern South. Bath City have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Malvern Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 14 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 32%.
With a 79% probability backing Bath City, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bath City to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 79% win probability for Bath City, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Malvern Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Bath City Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 32%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 29 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Twerton Park as part of the Non League Premier - Southern South.
