Serie D · Saturday, 11 Jul 2026
Portuguesa
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio do Caninde
Marcílio Dias
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.19 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Portuguesa wins
1
Draws
0
Marcílio Dias wins
05 Jul 2026
Marcílio Dias
1 - 1
Portuguesa
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
55%
33%
Attack
55%
83%
Defence
55%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
62%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Portuguesa
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Marcílio Dias
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Portuguesa | Marcílio Dias | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 1/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 50% 1/2 | Both teams scored | 3/3 100% |
| 50% 1/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Portuguesa
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Marcílio Dias
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Portuguesa face Marcílio Dias in Serie D. Portuguesa have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 1 (2 points per game). Marcílio Dias have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.67 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Portuguesa won 0, Marcílio Dias won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 62% probability backing Portuguesa, home advantage and superior chance creation make Portuguesa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 62% win probability for Portuguesa, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Marcílio Dias. Our top recommended betting pick is Portuguesa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 11 Jul 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio do Caninde as part of the Serie D.
