USL Championship · Wednesday, 30 Sep 2026
Miami FC
Home
4-1
Full time
Riccardo Silva Stadium
Sporting JAX
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
18%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
64%
1.47
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Miami FC wins
0
Draws
0
Sporting JAX wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
40%
40%
Attack
46%
26%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Miami FC
last 7 at home
1W
3D
3L
0.86
points a game
1.57
scored a game
1.86
conceded a game
Sporting JAX
last 7 away from home
1W
1D
5L
0.57
points a game
0.86
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Miami FC | Sporting JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Miami FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Sporting JAX
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Miami FC |
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -10 | 36 |
| 13 |
Sporting JAX |
28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | -42 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Miami FC face Sporting JAX in USL Championship. Miami FC have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (1 points per game). Sporting JAX have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 13 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 68%.
With a 64% probability backing Miami FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Miami FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for Miami FC, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Sporting JAX. Our top recommended betting pick is Miami FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 68% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 30 Sep 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
