Major League Soccer · Wednesday, 30 Sep 2026
New York Red Bulls
Home
0-3
Full time
Sports Illustrated Stadium
St. Louis City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
23%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
New York Red Bulls wins
0
Draws
0
St. Louis City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
86%
20%
Attack
95%
66%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
New York Red Bulls
last 5 at home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
St. Louis City
last 6 away from home
4W
2D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| New York Red Bulls | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
New York Red Bulls
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
St. Louis City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
80%
Level
20%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
St. Louis City |
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +11 | 54 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
New York Red Bulls face St. Louis City in Major League Soccer. New York Red Bulls have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). St. Louis City have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 6 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 53% probability backing New York Red Bulls, home advantage and superior chance creation make New York Red Bulls to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for New York Red Bulls, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for St. Louis City. Our top recommended betting pick is New York Red Bulls Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 30 Sep 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium as part of the Major League Soccer.
