Eerste Divisie · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
FC Eindhoven
Home
2-2
Full time
Jan Louwers Stadion
De Graafschap
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.15
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.65
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
9%
Away
7%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
82%
1.15
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
86%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.32
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FC Eindhoven wins
0
Draws
0
De Graafschap wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
20%
53%
Attack
33%
33%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
82%
Win probability
7%
Home and away record
FC Eindhoven
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.83
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
De Graafschap
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| FC Eindhoven | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
FC Eindhoven
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
De Graafschap
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
44%
Behind
44%
Match Preview & Analysis
FC Eindhoven face De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie. FC Eindhoven have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). De Graafschap have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 14 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 86% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 82% probability backing FC Eindhoven, home advantage and superior chance creation make FC Eindhoven to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for FC Eindhoven, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 7% probability for De Graafschap. Our top recommended betting pick is FC Eindhoven Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.32 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Jan Louwers Stadion as part of the Eerste Divisie.
