USL Championship · Thursday, 01 Oct 2026
FC Tulsa
Home
1-0
Full time
ONEOK Field
New Mexico United
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FC Tulsa wins
0
Draws
1
New Mexico United wins
16 Aug 2026
New Mexico United
1 - 0
FC Tulsa
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
40%
60%
Attack
60%
66%
Defence
40%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
FC Tulsa
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
0.67
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
New Mexico United
last 8 away from home
5W
3D
0L
2.25
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| FC Tulsa | New Mexico United | |
|---|---|---|
| 30% 3/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
FC Tulsa
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
New Mexico United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
New Mexico United |
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 49 |
| 6 |
FC Tulsa |
29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 43 |
Match Preview & Analysis
FC Tulsa face New Mexico United in USL Championship. FC Tulsa have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). New Mexico United have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, FC Tulsa won 0, New Mexico United won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for FC Tulsa, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for New Mexico United. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 01 Oct 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at ONEOK Field as part of the USL Championship.
