USL Championship · Thursday, 01 Oct 2026
FC Tulsa
Home
1-0
Full time
ONEOK Field
New Mexico United
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FC Tulsa wins
0
Draws
1
New Mexico United wins
16 Aug 2026
New Mexico United
1 - 0
FC Tulsa
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
46%
40%
Attack
53%
66%
Defence
53%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
40%
Win probability
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New New Mexico United | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 34 |
| 4 | FC FC Tulsa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | +6 | 32 |
Match Preview & Analysis
FC Tulsa face New Mexico United in USL Championship. FC Tulsa have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game). New Mexico United have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, FC Tulsa won 0, New Mexico United won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for FC Tulsa, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for New Mexico United. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 01 Oct 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at ONEOK Field as part of the USL Championship.
