QSL Cup · Thursday, 01 Oct 2026
Al-Gharafa
Home
4-2
Full time
Al Gharafa Stadium
Al Mesaimeer
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
18%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Al-Gharafa wins
0
Draws
0
Al Mesaimeer wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
25%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Al-Gharafa
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Al Mesaimeer
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Al-Gharafa | Al Mesaimeer | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 83% 5/6 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Al-Gharafa
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Al Mesaimeer
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Al-Gharafa face Al Mesaimeer in QSL Cup. Al-Gharafa have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game). Al Mesaimeer have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 18% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Al-Gharafa, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Al Mesaimeer. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 01 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Al Gharafa Stadium as part of the QSL Cup.
